Voter Turnout Determines Midterms

Party enthusiasm determines turn-out in midterms, which generally averages one-third of eligible voters compared to more than 50 percent of voters in presidential years. Thomas Mills of Politics North Carolina pointed out that Democrats essentially sat out the last two midterm elections. "In 2010 and 2014, over half of registered Republicans voted as opposed to 44%... Continue Reading →

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2018 Is Breakout Year For Female Candidates. Yet Harassment and Threats Are Common

A record number of women are running for office in 2018, and a record number of them will probably win. This recalls the first "Year of the Woman," 1992, when a record number of women won seats in Congress after the Clarence Thomas/Anita Hill debacle of 1991. And yet women candidates face hostility just for... Continue Reading →

Forget Left vs Right. Midterms Are Choice Between Reform Agenda and Cynical Self-dealing, Corruption

Americans have historically chosen pragmatism over ideology, the political center over the far right or far left. After descending into cynicism about politics and politicians in 2016, they can now embrace policies to clean up the mess -- the corrosive influence of money in politics, encouraging candidates to rely on small donations, addressing the lack... Continue Reading →

Another Chance for Community Organizing in 2018 and 2020

Community organizer job opportunities are growing. Start-ups like Swing Left are seeking to create a national grassroots network of more than 300,000 volunteers to help take back the US House of Representatives by targeting the 78 most competitive races, enough to flip party control and change the country's political agenda. One of the biggest disappointments of... Continue Reading →

What Is A ‘Wave Election’?

Carter Wrenn, a longtime Republican political strategist in North Carolina, expertly defined a "wave election" in this blog post: "One party's turnout plummets...Swing voters overwhelmingly vote for one party over another..."

NC Republicans Blatantly Discriminated, But Gerrymandered Maps Remain for 2018

Two federal court decisions significantly change NC politics. A federal appeals court in 2016 struck down North Carolina Republicans' voter-id law, charging that it "targeted African Americans with almost surgical precision." If the court had ruled the law constitutional, Republican Pat McCrory would probably have remained governor. He lost by 5,000 votes to Democrat Roy Cooper.... Continue Reading →

Democrats Target 50+ House Seats

Democrats need a 50-seat majority in the US House of Representatives to be fully in charge. They only need to flip 23 seats to win the House, but victory by a tiny margin will not likely lead to secure or confident leadership. A "blue wave" means they'd have to win 25 toss-ups and 25 leans-Republican... Continue Reading →

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