For Dems to Take Senate Majority, They’ll Need to Win These Contests in 2018

If Democrats can hold 48 Senate seats in 2018 and win three more seats, they'll take the majority. That will not be easy. Early odds are against it. Here are three Senate races where Dems are slightly favored, two longshots, and nine "must-wins." AZ: Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D) is running against a crowded and divided... Continue Reading →

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Cracks in the Wall of Trumpism

Two-thirds of Americans in a Fox News poll say the Mueller investigation should continue; 64 percent think Mueller is treating Trump fairly; 56 percent think it's likely he'll find criminal or impeachable offenses by Trump, and 71 percent think Trump will try to fire Mueller before he's done. Former CIA Director John Brennan says Russia... Continue Reading →

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400 Years of American Politics, Starting at Plymouth

If politics begins with conflict -- the jockeying for power among factions for resources, land, cultural dominance, social control, and governmental policies -- one might say that American politics began in the early 1600s, with the first encounter between English settlers and Native Americans. That's when the American Indian Wars began sporadically. In origin-of-America mythology,... Continue Reading →

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Another Chance for Community Organizing in 2018 and 2020

Community organizer job opportunities are growing. Start-ups like Swing Left are seeking to create a national grassroots network of more than 300,000 volunteers to help take back the US House of Representatives by targeting the 78 most competitive races, enough to flip party control and change the country's political agenda. One of the biggest disappointments of... Continue Reading →

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The Six, Maybe Seven Phases of American Political Party Systems and What’s Next

America's political parties are overdue for a major realignment. They have undergone six historical phases in the nation's history. The First Political Party System -- consisting of the Federalists, created by Alexander Hamilton of New York, and the Democratic-Republican Party, created by Thomas Jefferson and James Madison of Virginia -- lasted from 1792 to 1824 (36 years).... Continue Reading →

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Who Broke Congress?

Congress, especially the US House, has always been an institution engendering discontent from reformist members frustrated at the slow pace of change. They come to Congress with an agenda, to get things done. Longtime congressional staffer John Lawrence argues persuasively that some of the reforms of the 1970s had unintended consequences and led to the... Continue Reading →

Obama Advisor on Hillary’s Achilles Heel

“I couldn’t shake the feeling that I should have seen it coming, because when you distilled it, stripped out the racism and misogyny, we’d run against Hillary eight years ago with the same message Trump had used: She’s part of a corrupt establishment that can’t be trusted to bring change.” -- Ben Rhodes, advisor to... Continue Reading →

Feminism Grows Stronger in Trump ‘Era’

Little did those who rejected Hillary Clinton as the first female president in 2016 realize that they were igniting a movement of fourth-wave feminism, against sexual harassment in the workplace that would sweep through American politics, the halls of Congress, state legislatures, Hollywood, the news media, and even one of the country's most conservative bastions, the... Continue Reading →

10 Conditions That Led the GOP to Nominate Trump

What were the conditions in the Republican Party before Trump that led the party to consider nominating him? Ten reasons: George W. Bush's venture into Iraq on false pretenses, the bad intelligence that Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction, and the disaster that followed. This led to a loss of faith in neo-conservativism and... Continue Reading →

NC Politics Up for Grabs. Is It A Red Or Purple State?

Republicans think North Carolina is a solidly red state that occasionally elects Democrats, but Democrats think NC is a decidedly purple state, for whom solid Republican rule 2012-2016 was an aberration. The state is growing rapidly. Both parties increase their vote totals after each national election. North Carolina's population has grown one percent a year, from... Continue Reading →

What Is A ‘Wave Election’?

Carter Wrenn, a longtime Republican political strategist in North Carolina, expertly defined a "wave election" in this blog post: "One party's turnout plummets...Swing voters overwhelmingly vote for one party over another..."

How Seriously To Take US Political Divisions?

I've been surprised that some of my most vociferous "conservative" sparring partners online now admit that they reluctantly voted for Donald Trump or didn't vote for him at all in 2016. Rather, they voted against Hillary Clinton, desperate to "turn the page" from the too long-running Clinton soap-opera. Some would have voted for Joe Biden... Continue Reading →

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