Despite Donald Trump's slurs of Latinos and hardline on immigration, 29 percent of Latinos voted for him, compared to 27% for Mitt Romney in 2012. Hillary Clinton won 65% of Latinos compared to 71% for Barack Obama in 2012. How to explain that? Latinos aren't a monolith or a single voting block: there are many differences … Continue reading Latino Vote for Trump Was Higher Than for Romney. How to Explain That?
In 2016, Donald Trump performed best among white voters without college degrees, a shrinking demographic. But he shockingly won white voters with college degrees as well. Wpost: "Trump, according to exit poll data, earned the votes of 60 percent of white men and 52 percent of white women...The exit polls indicated that he had won 88 percent of … Continue reading Trump’s Base: White Male Voters Without College Degrees. But He Won Whites With College Degrees As Well
George Will, A Ruinous Triumph for the GOP: "Demography need not dictate for Republicans a grim destiny but it soon will, unless they act to counter adverse trends. Republicans should absorb Tim Alberta’s data in National Review: Arizona whites have gone from 74 percent to 54 percent of the population in 25 years; minorities will be … Continue reading A Minority Majority Country Will Not Long Accept White Nationalism
Vice President Joe Biden, a product of the middle class who has remained middle class, defined that demographic this way, as The Washington Post reported: “The middle class is not a number; it’s a value set. It’s being able to own your house and not have to rent it; it’s being able to send your … Continue reading The Endangered American Middle Class
Update: this turned out to be off-base. Trump won college-educated white voters, especially men. Turnout was not necessarily a crucial factor, as more people voted than in 2012, except in Pennsylvania and possibly Wisconsin. The "up-for-grabs" educated white voters who usually voted Republican stayed loyal to the party. Blame Trump's Victory on College-Educated Whites, Not the … Continue reading Profile of the American Voter