Find out if your house is in a political bubble (all blue or all red), or an island (red or blue surrounded by the other party). Detailed political demographics. Click on NYT website.
By 2040, 30% of US Population Will Choose 70% of Senators
The US Senate is on its way to becoming an anti-democratic institution that could plunge the US government into a crisis of legitimacy because it is increasingly unrepresentative of the American population. By 2040, as most Americans live in urban areas in just 15 states, 70% of the population will be represented by one-third of... Continue Reading →
Latino Vote for Trump Was Higher Than for Romney. How to Explain That?
Despite Donald Trump's slurs of Latinos and hardline on immigration, 29 percent of Latinos voted for him, compared to 27% for Mitt Romney in 2012. Hillary Clinton won 65% of Latinos compared to 71% for Barack Obama in 2012. How to explain that? Latinos aren't a monolith or a single voting block: there are many differences... Continue Reading →
Trump’s Base: White Male Voters Without College Degrees. But He Won Whites With College Degrees As Well
In 2016, Donald Trump performed best among white voters without college degrees, a shrinking demographic. But he shockingly won white voters with college degrees as well. Wpost: "Trump, according to exit poll data, earned the votes of 60 percent of white men and 52 percent of white women...The exit polls indicated that he had won 88 percent of... Continue Reading →
A Minority Majority Country Will Not Long Accept White Nationalism
George Will, A Ruinous Triumph for the GOP: "Demography need not dictate for Republicans a grim destiny but it soon will, unless they act to counter adverse trends. Republicans should absorb Tim Alberta’s data in National Review: Arizona whites have gone from 74 percent to 54 percent of the population in 25 years; minorities will be... Continue Reading →
The Endangered American Middle Class
Vice President Joe Biden, a product of the middle class who has remained middle class, defined that demographic this way, as The Washington Post reported: “The middle class is not a number; it’s a value set. It’s being able to own your house and not have to rent it; it’s being able to send your... Continue Reading →
Profile of the American Voter
Update: this turned out to be off-base. Trump won college-educated white voters, especially men. Turnout was not necessarily a crucial factor, as more people voted than in 2012, except in Pennsylvania and possibly Wisconsin. The "up-for-grabs" educated white voters who usually voted Republican stayed loyal to the party. Blame Trump's Victory on College-Educated Whites, Not the... Continue Reading →
