South Carolina, One-Party Non-competitive State Since Reconstruction, May Not Elect a Democrat for 30+ Years

In South Carolina, even African Americans have decided the only way they can get ahead politically is to become Republicans. Hence you have African American businessman Senator Tim Scott, first appointed by Nikki Haley in 2013, winning election in his own right in 2014, and re-election in 2016 with 60+ percent of the vote against another... Continue Reading →

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Can Mississippi Ever Overcome White Supremacist Image?

Mississippi has been a one-party white supremacist state since post-reconstruction days. It was solidly segregationist Democrat state for nearly 100 years, until the 1980s. It supported Southerner Jimmy Carter, who denounced segregation, in 1976, but then switched to Ronald Reagan in 1980. It has remained predictably Republican in national politics ever since. Mike Espy, an... Continue Reading →

Voter Turnout Determines Midterms

Party enthusiasm determines turn-out in midterms, which generally averages one-third of eligible voters compared to more than 50 percent of voters in presidential years. Thomas Mills of Politics North Carolina pointed out that Democrats essentially sat out the last two midterm elections. "In 2010 and 2014, over half of registered Republicans voted as opposed to 44%... Continue Reading →

What Is A ‘Wave Election’?

Carter Wrenn, a longtime Republican political strategist in North Carolina, expertly defined a "wave election" in this blog post: "One party's turnout plummets...Swing voters overwhelmingly vote for one party over another..."

NC Republicans Blatantly Discriminated, But Gerrymandered Maps Remain for 2018

Two federal court decisions significantly change NC politics. A federal appeals court in 2016 struck down North Carolina Republicans' voter-id law, charging that it "targeted African Americans with almost surgical precision." If the court had ruled the law constitutional, Republican Pat McCrory would probably have remained governor. He lost by 5,000 votes to Democrat Roy Cooper.... Continue Reading →

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