In 2014, Low Turnout, Gerrymandering, President’s Unpopularity Led to GOP Victories

Nationally, voter turnout in 2014 was lowest in 70 years. Just 36.4 percent of eligible voters turned out. Click. Low voter turnout suggests a disengaged and cynical electorate that is not paying much attention and does not believe their votes matter. They know the economy's not what they want it to be and Obama is president, … Continue reading In 2014, Low Turnout, Gerrymandering, President’s Unpopularity Led to GOP Victories

Initial Political Failures Can Lead to Later Success

History is replete with examples of political failures that lead to later success. NYT had an article on how the failures of Bill Clinton's presidency laid the groundwork for the successes of Barack Obama's presidency in its first two years. Along the same lines, I wrote "Why Clinton Won in 1992: Democrats Finally Learned from Their … Continue reading Initial Political Failures Can Lead to Later Success

A Close Look at 12 Republican Senators, 2 Democratic Senators Elected in 2010 and Up for Re-election in 2016

Back in January of 2010, I predicted that the Democrats, in keeping with historical trends, would lose five Senate seats. In reality, they lost seven seats (or six if you don't count Scott Brown's temporary victory). Let's look specifically at the Senate class of 2010. They are up for re-election in 2016: Mark Kirk, the … Continue reading A Close Look at 12 Republican Senators, 2 Democratic Senators Elected in 2010 and Up for Re-election in 2016

Swing Voters, Who Hold Balance of Power in America, Prefer Divided Government

Conservative Republicans are celebrating their victories in the 2010 elections,fantasizing about a complete conservative Republican takeover of government in 2012, crowing that Barack Obama is "another Jimmy Carter." Winning back the White House will be a piece of cake, they say, and they'll be on such a roll as to take eight to 10 more Senate … Continue reading Swing Voters, Who Hold Balance of Power in America, Prefer Divided Government