Voter Turnout Determines Midterms

Party enthusiasm determines turn-out in midterms, which generally averages one-third of eligible voters compared to more than 50 percent of voters in presidential years. Thomas Mills of Politics North Carolina pointed out that Democrats essentially sat out the last two midterm elections. "In 2010 and 2014, over half of registered Republicans voted as opposed to 44%... Continue Reading →

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NC Politics Up for Grabs. Is It A Red Or Purple State?

Republicans like to think North Carolina is a solidly red state that occasionally elects Democrats to Congress, and particularly the US Senate, with Republicans dominant in the state legislature since the 2010 election, and barely lost the governor's race in 2016. But Democrats think NC is a decidedly purple state, for whom solid Republican rule... Continue Reading →

What Is A ‘Wave Election’?

Carter Wrenn, a longtime Republican political strategist in North Carolina, expertly defined a "wave election" in this blog post: "One party's turnout plummets...Swing voters overwhelmingly vote for one party over another..."

NC Republicans Blatantly Discriminated, But Gerrymandered Maps Remain for 2018

Two federal court decisions significantly change NC politics. A federal appeals court in 2016 struck down North Carolina Republicans' voter-id law, charging that it "targeted African Americans with almost surgical precision." If the court had ruled the law constitutional, Republican Pat McCrory would probably have remained governor. He lost by 5,000 votes to Democrat Roy Cooper.... Continue Reading →

Dan McCready, in NC 9: Congressional Candidate to Watch

Dan McCready, a former Marine, and founder of a solar energy company in Charlotte, NC is running for Congress in the historically conservative ninth congressional district as a Democrat. Republicans had a knock-down, drag-out primary, and Tea Party preacher Mark Harris won the GOP nomination, beating incumbent Republican Robert Pettinger. The race has shifted from... Continue Reading →

Political Profiles of the States, Swing States and Tracking Polls

Ballotpedia has published political profiles of each state, courtesy of the Almanac of American Politics 2016. Reading these profiles are essential to fully understanding American politics. The largest states lean heavily toward the Democrats: New York, Illinois (Chicago), the Northeast and the West Coast states (California, Washington, Oregon) are generally considered Democratic, in contrast to... Continue Reading →

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